The Scale and Structure of Higher Education and Public Educational Funding in China: An Empirical Prediction till 2035

Yue Changjun; Qiu Wenqi

doi:10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.001

Volume 39 Issue 6

Jun. 2021

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Yue Changjun, Qiu Wenqi. The Scale and Structure of Higher Education and Public Educational Funding in China: An Empirical Prediction till 2035[J]. Journal of East China Normal University (Educational Sciences), 2021, 39(6): 1-16. doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.001

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Yue Changjun, Qiu Wenqi. The Scale and Structure of Higher Education and Public Educational Funding in China: An Empirical Prediction till 2035[J]. Journal of East China Normal University (Educational Sciences), 2021, 39(6): 1-16. doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.001

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The Scale and Structure of Higher Education and Public Educational Funding in China: An Empirical Prediction till 2035

doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2021.06.001

Graduate School of Education/Institute of Economics of Education, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Publish Date: 2021-06-01

Abstract

Abstract

With China’s higher education entering the stage of popularization, its future development has become a widespread concern. Combining the dimensions of supply and demand, this paper employs the statistical and econometric regression models to predict the scale and structure of higher education and public educational funding in China from 2021 to 2035. According to the empirical results, it is appropriate for the gross enrolment ratio of higher education in China to reach about 60% in 2025, 67% in 2030, and 75% in 2035. For the proportion of graduate enrolment, it is suitable to reach about 16% in 2025, 18% in 2030, and 20% in 2035. For the government expenditure on education as a percentage of GDP, it is suitable to reach about 4.4% in 2025, 4.5% in 2030, and 4.6% in 2035.

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References(19)

References

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